Preliminary Report on Kenya’s General Election 2022

The CIHA blog will provide updates on the ongoing controversy surrounding the Kenya elections. 

(image above from theelephant.com)

Saturnin Modeste Agramako, CIHA Luce Fellow at the Hekima Institute in Nairobi, provides a preliminary report on the Kenyan general elections.

By Saturnin Modeste Agramako, Luce Graduate Fellow from Hekima Institute of Peace Studies and International Relations (HIPSIR)

General elections in Kenya are held every five years. This year’s ballot represents the third general election and the fourth presidential election since the 2005 referendum and the promulgation of the 2010 Constitution that brought to birth a devolved governance structure. Out of an initial list of 17 candidates, four candidates were cleared by the country’s elections agency to run for President, the smallest number since the reintroduction of multiparty democracy in the early 1990s. In terms of mandate, according to the law of the country, incumbent President Uhuru Kenyatta is not eligible to run for a third term. The same applies to a number of County Governors who have served their two-term limit of five years each.

Out of a population of around 50 million people, about 22.1 million eligible Kenyans including about 10,000 residing in the diaspora registered as voters in the 2022 general elections and are expected to take part in the polls to choose President Uhuru Kenyatta’s successor, members of the National Assembly and the Senate, the Women Members of National Assembly, the County Governors and their members of assemblies for the 47 Counties Governments.

The BBC report on the general election shows that voting in general has been proceeding peacefully and smoothly. The Nation TV interview also showed that the coordination of the election was good, and the process was free and fair. In terms of international observation, the African Union, the European Union and the Commonwealth were among those who sent observers to monitor the elections. In terms of security, about 150,000 officers have been deployed to ensure the security of polling stations, police chief Hilary Mutyambai said.

Despite all that, critics have been recorded: there were some delays and problems with electronic kits used for voter identification and verification in some parts of the country; and frustration was reported among voters early in the morning. Such incidences were reported at a polling station in a primary school in Nairobi’s Westlands Constituency, when voters were prevented from entering the school grounds for 90 minutes. In the coastal county of Mombasa and parts of the north-eastern region of the country, delays were also reported. In addition, there have been a few complaints about electronic fingerprint equipment (used to identify voters) breaking down. But the electoral commission acknowledged that only 200 of these were broken out of a total of more than 46,000 (France 24, 2022).

(image below from Nation Africa)

In addition, voters in Rongai and Nakuru counties protested after the election agency suspended parliamentary elections in the constituency over the lack of ballot papers and ballot boxes. As a result, riot police were deployed to disperse them (Mwale 2022).

Along the same lines, some people were not able to be identified and were not able to vote as large numbers of people were relocated from their main registered areas during the COVID-19 crisis. The relocation caused inconvenience as new polling stations gazettement by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) was communicated late.

Many young people say they are frustrated by growing inequality and an entrenched political system overseen by the same old elite. As a result, figures from the electoral commission show that many young people did not register to vote. This shows a sign that young people have lost faith in the electoral system (Walker, 2022).

On the other hand, polling stations were closed in many places at the official time -1700 hours local time, but the IEBC reported that voting hours had been extended in some areas that had experienced delays. Anyone still in the queue at closing time was to be allowed to vote.

Veteran opposition leader and a former Prime Minister Mr.Raila Odinga (77 years old), now backed by his longtime rival Kenyatta (the incumbent President), is one of the most competitive candidates for the presidential seat. Odinga is running under the ‘Azimio la Umoja’ (Quest for Unity) – One Kenya coalition. Mr. Odinga lost four previous presidential elections, in 1997, 2007, 2013 and 2017. The other competitive candidate, Dr. William Ruto (55 years old), served as a legislator since 1992 till 2012 before becoming the Deputy President in 2013 to date under President Uhuru Kenyatta. Dr. Ruto has previously served as Minister of Home Affairs, Minister of Agriculture and Minister for Higher Education. The ambitious politician is running for the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), pledging to fight for the “hustlers” trying to make ends meet. Odinga and Ruto are in a tight race for the presidency (Mwakideu, 2022).
However, there still a concern about voter turnout. Most Kenyans have been heavily affected by the coronavirus pandemic and its negative impact on the economy, which has seen hundreds of thousands of people lose their jobs. In addition, rising food and fuel prices, blamed on the war in Ukraine, have put pressure on the country, which is home to a wide range of ethnic groups. The new president will face challenges in tackling the rising cost of living, youth unemployment, a $70 billion mountain of debt and entrenched corruption (Mwakideu, 2022).